NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

581 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 162 are projected to rise. Page 3 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

#	Player	Team	Pos	Owned	Price	BE	Proj	Proj − BE
101	Fletcher Hunt	Knights	WFBCTR	0.8%	$465k	-4	34	+38
102	Michael Gabrael	Sharks	CTR	0.8%	$230k	18	34	+16
103	Hayze Perham	Broncos	WFB	0.8%	$357k	5	36	+31
104	Zane Harrison	Titans	HLF	0.8%	$442k	44	–	–
105	Connelly Lemuelu	Dolphins	EDG	0.7%	$566k	63	–	–
106	Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown	Storm	WFB	0.7%	$230k	-9	24	+33
107	Joash Papalii	Eels	WFB	0.7%	$391k	35	–	–
108	Mitchell Moses	Eels	HLF	0.6%	$618k	31	50	+19
109	Jesse Ramien	Sharks	CTR	0.6%	$435k	38	–	–
110	Richard Penisini	Eels	WFB	0.5%	$230k	18	–	–
111	Leka Halasima	Warriors	EDG	0.5%	$447k	24	40	+16
112	Setu Tu	Dragons	WFB	0.5%	$396k	29	–	–
113	Teancum Brown	Eels	MID	0.5%	$392k	31	26	-5
114	Cooper Bai	Titans	MID	0.5%	$230k	14	29	+15
115	Apisai Koroisau	Wests Tigers	HOK	0.5%	$608k	35	48	+13
116	Isaiah Papali'i	Panthers	MIDEDG	0.5%	$645k	62	52	-10
117	Jared Haywood	Wests Tigers	HOKHLF	0.5%	$254k	22	–	–
118	Josh Feledy	Sea Eagles	CTR	0.5%	$261k	-4	33	+37
119	Liam Henry	Panthers	MID	0.5%	$595k	49	51	+2
120	Cameron McInnes	Sharks	MID	0.5%	$472k	59	37	-22
121	Jaxon Purdue	Cowboys	HLFCTR	0.5%	$541k	32	36	+4
122	Will Pryce	Knights	HLFWFB	0.4%	$250k	20	–	–
123	Hayden Watson	Storm	HLF	0.4%	$316k	-14	–	–
124	Josh Patston	Titans	EDG	0.4%	$403k	24	–	–
125	Paul Alamoti	Panthers	WFBCTR	0.4%	$479k	54	–	–
126	Egan Butcher	Roosters	EDG	0.4%	$250k	25	51	+26
127	Billy Walters	Broncos	HLFHOK	0.4%	$474k	12	44	+32
128	Ronaldo Mulitalo	Sharks	WFB	0.4%	$504k	56	40	-16
129	Kade Reed	Dragons	HLF	0.3%	$230k	11	–	–
130	Sam Healey	Warriors	HOK	0.3%	$230k	24	51	+27
131	Taine Tuaupiki	Warriors	WFB	0.3%	$423k	22	–	–
132	Jezaiah Funa	Eels	EDG	0.3%	$230k	24	–	–
133	Mitchell Barnett	Warriors	MID	0.3%	$600k	44	50	+6
134	Jack Wighton	Rabbitohs	HLFCTR	0.3%	$352k	28	32	+4
135	Izack Tago	Panthers	CTR	0.3%	$394k	24	–	–
136	Campbell Graham	Rabbitohs	WFBCTR	0.3%	$542k	48	42	-6
137	Joe Chan	Storm	EDG	0.3%	$230k	18	–	–
138	Ali Leiataua	Warriors	CTR	0.3%	$445k	34	35	+1
139	Freddy Lussick	Panthers	HOK	0.3%	$488k	47	22	-25
140	Brandon Wakeham	Sea Eagles	HLFHOK	0.3%	$359k	22	35	+13
141	Brian Pouniu	Dolphins	EDG	0.3%	$277k	-14	–	–
142	Hugo Peel	Storm	WFB	0.3%	$230k	28	–	–
143	Javon Andrews	Wests Tigers	HLF	0.3%	$245k	7	–	–
144	Jaxen Edgar	Panthers	WFB	0.3%	$297k	9	–	–
145	Kurt Donoghoe	Dolphins	HOKMID	0.3%	$484k	43	35	-8
146	Leo Thompson	Bulldogs	MID	0.3%	$543k	58	47	-11
147	Ronald Philitoga	Cowboys	WFB	0.3%	$230k	18	–	–
148	Solomone Saukuru	Wests Tigers	CTR	0.3%	$310k	11	35	+24
149	Soni Luke	Cowboys	HOK	0.3%	$294k	32	22	-10
150	Josese Lanyon	Wests Tigers	HOK	0.2%	$230k	19	–	–

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.