NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

581 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 162 are projected to rise. Page 2 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
51 Jake Simpkin Sea Eagles HOK 6.7% $484k 46 36 -10
52 Adam Doueihi Wests Tigers HLF 6.4% $737k 42
53 Mark Nawaqanitawase Roosters WFB 6.2% $487k 42
54 Heilum Luki Cowboys EDG 6.2% $642k 56 49 -7
55 Patrick Carrigan Broncos MID 5.9% $636k 57 52 -5
56 Dylan Edwards Panthers WFB 5.8% $550k 42 49 +7
57 Te Maire Martin Warriors HLF 5.1% $611k 41 51 +10
58 Jeremy Marshall-King Dolphins HOK 4.9% $541k 39 44 +5
59 Tom Trbojevic Sea Eagles WFB 4.7% $511k 43 49 +6
60 Dayne Jennings Rabbitohs CTR 4.6% $236k 20
61 Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow Dolphins WFB 4.2% $521k 64 44 -20
62 Thomas Jenkins Panthers WFB 4.1% $545k 46 45 -1
63 Stephen Crichton Bulldogs CTR 3.8% $550k 51 45 -6
64 Jamal Fogarty Sea Eagles HLF 3.8% $584k 38 53 +15
65 Erin Clark Warriors MID 3.6% $543k 46 44 -2
66 Damien Cook Dragons HOK 3.2% $402k 29 43 +14
67 Max Plath Dolphins HOKMID 3.2% $587k 33 48 +15
68 Siua Wong Roosters EDG 3.2% $610k 49
69 Isaiya Katoa Dolphins HLF 3.1% $571k 45 53 +8
70 Zac Hosking Raiders EDG 2.8% $607k 50
71 Stefano Utoikamanu Storm MID 2.6% $682k 60 47 -13
72 Tom Dearden Cowboys HLF 2.5% $724k 70 55 -15
73 Reuben Garrick Sea Eagles WFBCTR 2.4% $463k 23 41 +18
74 Oryn Keeley Storm EDG 2.4% $518k 39 43 +4
75 Dylan Egan Dragons EDG 2.4% $621k 43 53 +10
76 Robert Toia Roosters CTR 2.3% $601k 49
77 Nat Butcher Roosters MIDEDG 2.2% $599k 44
78 Briton Nikora Sharks EDG 2.2% $520k 41 43 +2
79 Valentine Holmes Dragons CTR 2.1% $500k 57 40 -17
80 Sam Walker Roosters HLF 2.1% $690k 68
81 Isaah Yeo Panthers MID 2.1% $655k 64
82 David Fifita Rabbitohs EDG 2.0% $620k 43 47 +4
83 Latrell Siegwalt Rabbitohs CTRWFB 1.8% $489k 42
84 Sunia Turuva Wests Tigers CTRWFB 1.7% $274k 25
85 Jayden Sullivan Rabbitohs HLF 1.5% $309k -8 45 +53
86 William Craig Wests Tigers WFB 1.5% $230k 18
87 Latrell Mitchell Rabbitohs WFBCTR 1.4% $829k 117 65 -52
88 Reece Robson Roosters HOK 1.4% $580k 36
89 Jack Cogger Panthers HLF 1.3% $328k 33
90 Antonio Verhoeven Broncos CTRWFB 1.3% $230k 14
91 Jahream Bula Wests Tigers WFB 1.1% $391k 26 37 +11
92 Billy Smith Roosters CTR 1.1% $586k 56
93 Gehamat Shibasaki Broncos CTR 1.0% $273k 36
94 Zac Laybutt Cowboys WFBCTR 1.0% $249k 18
95 Phoenix Crossland Knights HOK 0.9% $525k 51
96 Kaeo Weekes Raiders WFB 0.9% $513k 36 42 +6
97 Ethan Sanders Raiders HLF 0.9% $625k 63
98 Corey Horsburgh Raiders MID 0.9% $628k 57
99 Kotoni Staggs Broncos CTR 0.8% $370k 37 37 0
100 Luke Metcalf Warriors HLF 0.8% $550k 56

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.