NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

588 players for 2026 Round 28. Page 2 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
51 Thomas Jenkins Panthers WFB 7.3% $566k 29 – –
52 Patrick Carrigan Broncos MID 6.9% $643k 44 – –
53 Francis Manuleleua Knights EDG 6.7% $576k 40 – –
54 Isaiah Iongi Eels WFB 6.6% $518k 68 – –
55 Heamasi Makasini Wests Tigers CTRWFB 6.4% $308k 21 – –
56 Mark Nawaqanitawase Roosters WFB 6.1% $487k 42 – –
57 Jake Simpkin Sea Eagles HOK 6.0% $476k 40 – –
58 Tom Trbojevic Sea Eagles WFB 5.7% $522k 32 – –
59 Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow Dolphins WFB 5.2% $521k 38 – –
60 Te Maire Martin Warriors HLF 4.8% $620k 41 – –
61 Jeremy Marshall-King Dolphins HOK 4.8% $555k 35 – –
62 Dayne Jennings Rabbitohs CTR 4.5% $236k 20 – –
63 Stephen Crichton Bulldogs CTR 4.4% $534k 49 – –
64 Max Plath Dolphins HOKMID 4.4% $593k 43 – –
65 Stefano Utoikamanu Storm MID 4.2% $689k 46 – –
66 Erin Clark Warriors MID 4.2% $535k 44 – –
67 Damien Cook Dragons HOK 4.2% $404k 28 – –
68 Adam Doueihi Wests Tigers HLF 4.0% $737k 42 – –
69 Jamal Fogarty Sea Eagles HLF 3.5% $577k 46 – –
70 Isaiya Katoa Dolphins HLF 3.5% $588k 36 – –
71 Dylan Egan Dragons EDG 3.4% $667k 24 – –
72 Mitchell Moses Eels HLF 3.2% $639k 38 – –
73 Tom Dearden Cowboys HLF 3.1% $673k 84 – –
74 David Fifita Rabbitohs EDG 2.8% $643k 37 – –
75 Briton Nikora Sharks EDG 2.6% $518k 41 – –
76 Oryn Keeley Storm EDG 2.3% $525k 37 – –
77 Nat Butcher Roosters MIDEDG 2.3% $599k 44 – –
78 Reuben Garrick Sea Eagles WFBCTR 2.2% $493k 17 – –
79 Siua Wong Roosters EDG 2.1% $610k 49 – –
80 Robert Toia Roosters CTR 2.0% $601k 49 – –
81 Zac Hosking Raiders EDG 1.9% $607k 50 – –
82 Sunia Turuva Wests Tigers CTRWFB 1.8% $274k 25 – –
83 Jayden Sullivan Rabbitohs HLF 1.8% $364k -1 – –
84 Valentine Holmes Dragons CTR 1.8% $448k 67 – –
85 Jack Cogger Panthers HLF 1.5% $328k 33 – –
86 Connor Watson Roosters HOKMID 1.5% $375k 23 – –
87 Latrell Siegwalt Rabbitohs CTRWFB 1.5% $489k 42 – –
88 Isaah Yeo Panthers MID 1.4% $627k 66 – –
89 William Craig Wests Tigers WFB 1.4% $230k 18 – –
90 Sam Walker Roosters HLF 1.3% $690k 68 – –
91 Jahream Bula Wests Tigers WFB 1.2% $397k 28 – –
92 Antonio Verhoeven Broncos CTRWFB 1.2% $230k 14 – –
93 Apisai Koroisau Wests Tigers HOK 1.2% $610k 47 – –
94 Phoenix Crossland Knights HOK 1.1% $525k 51 – –
95 Reece Robson Roosters HOK 1.1% $580k 36 – –
96 Michael Gabrael Sharks CTR 1.1% $230k 17 – –
97 Zac Laybutt Cowboys WFBCTR 1.1% $249k 18 – –
98 Hayze Perham Broncos WFB 1.0% $387k 13 – –
99 Isaiah Papali'i Panthers MIDEDG 1.0% $644k 49 – –
100 Gehamat Shibasaki Broncos CTR 1.0% $273k 36 – –

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.