NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

581 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 162 are projected to rise. Page 4 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
151 Jacob Halangahu Dragons EDG 0.2% $298k 27 25 -2
152 Sean Russell Eels CTRWFB 0.2% $289k 27
153 Cooper Clarke Storm EDGMID 0.2% $548k 52 36 -16
154 Mason Barber Cowboys WFB 0.2% $230k 18
155 Loko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga Dragons MID 0.2% $599k 30 51 +21
156 Thomas Cant Knights EDG 0.2% $361k 24 37 +13
157 Josh Curran Bulldogs EDGMID 0.2% $457k 55 24 -31
158 Jaiyden Hunt Broncos MID 0.2% $383k 22 36 +14
159 Jye Gray Rabbitohs WFB 0.2% $513k 27 46 +19
160 Addin Fonua-Blake Sharks MID 0.2% $562k 28 43 +15
161 Apa Twidle Eels HLF 0.2% $335k 10 37 +27
162 Braydon Trindall Sharks HLF 0.2% $538k 70
163 Clayton Faulalo Sea Eagles WFB 0.2% $473k 26 49 +23
164 Bradley Schneider Dolphins HLF 0.2% $461k 30
165 Beau Fermor Titans EDG 0.2% $653k 50 47 -3
166 Cody Ramsey Roosters WFB 0.2% $412k 19 37 +18
167 Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad Warriors WFB 0.2% $570k 41 47 +6
168 Diesel Hagan Knights HOK 0.2% $230k 18
169 Ethan Alaia Raiders WFB 0.2% $230k 18
170 Jahrome Hughes Storm HLF 0.2% $613k 50 51 +1
171 Jed Stuart Raiders WFB 0.2% $337k 33 28 -5
172 Jojo Fifita Titans CTRWFB 0.2% $503k 39
173 Junior Tupou Wests Tigers WFB 0.2% $306k 10 31 +21
174 Lomi Saukuru Wests Tigers EDG 0.2% $230k 18
175 Teig Wilton Sharks EDG 0.2% $552k 40
176 Nick Meaney Storm WFBCTR 0.1% $471k 20 42 +22
177 Lyhkan King-Togia Dragons HLF 0.1% $360k 23 36 +13
178 Tallyn Da Silva Eels HOK 0.1% $464k 33 38 +5
179 Mitchell Woods Bulldogs HLF 0.1% $230k 18
180 Coby Black Raiders HLF 0.1% $230k 18 45 +27
181 Vena Patuki-Case Raiders MID 0.1% $230k 18 25 +7
182 Patrick Young Bulldogs HOK 0.1% $230k 18
183 Kurt Capewell Warriors CTREDG 0.1% $443k 45
184 Dominic Young Knights WFB 0.1% $505k 28
185 Enari Tuala Bulldogs CTRWFB 0.1% $468k 58 35 -23
186 William Kennedy Sharks WFB 0.1% $405k 24 35 +11
187 Trent Toelau Storm HLF 0.1% $308k 27 20 -7
188 Josh Addo-Carr Eels WFB 0.1% $320k 19 32 +13
189 Ronald Volkman Eels HLF 0.1% $447k 22 39 +17
190 Sione Katoa Sharks WFB 0.1% $495k 23 40 +17
191 Chris Vea'ila Sharks CTR 0.1% $250k 20
192 Sebastian Kris Raiders CTR 0.1% $330k 47
193 Savelio Tamale Raiders WFB 0.1% $358k 22
194 Jacob Laban Warriors EDG 0.1% $635k 35 48 +13
195 Josh Papalii Raiders MID 0.1% $298k 14 38 +24
196 Simione Laiafi Sea Eagles MID 0.1% $266k 16 18 +2
197 Jonathan Sua Bulldogs WFB 0.1% $259k 31
198 Wiremu Greig Cowboys MID 0.1% $230k 35
199 Reed Mahoney Cowboys HOK 0.1% $418k 25 39 +14
200 Ethan King Cowboys WFB 0.1% $230k 42

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.