NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

587 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 164 are projected to rise. Page 7 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
301 Coen Hess Cowboys MID $368k 27 31 +4
302 Corey Jensen Broncos MID $474k 39
303 Josiah Karapani Broncos WFB $325k 35 33 -2
304 Tui Kamikamica Storm MID $282k 27
305 Dylan Walker Eels MID $322k 33 26 -7
306 Oregon Kaufusi Sharks MID $442k 40 31 -9
307 J'maine Hopgood Eels MID $560k 72
308 Lachlan Crouch Knights MID $326k 21 31 +10
309 Junior Paulo Eels MID $406k 21 41 +20
310 Will Penisini Eels CTR $457k 21 39 +18
311 Toby Winter Knights CTRWFB $232k 16
312 Jack Underhill Bulldogs MID $273k 28
313 Davvy Moale Storm MID $230k 39
314 Jesse Colquhoun Sharks MID $493k 42 42 0
315 Siosifa Talakai Sharks CTREDG $270k 25 30 +5
316 Matthew Arthur Knights HOK $250k 20
317 Josh King Storm MID $480k 49 37 -12
318 Starford To'a Wests Tigers CTR $372k 28
319 Siosiua Taukeiaho Sea Eagles MID $380k 19
320 Kobe Hetherington Sea Eagles MID $402k 23
321 Noah Martin Raiders EDG $565k 42 50 +8
322 Max Feagai Titans CTR $384k 38
323 James Schiller Knights WFB $402k 43
324 Pasami Saulo Knights MID $270k 35 22 -13
325 Delouise Hoeter Broncos CTR $250k 20
326 Viliami Vailea Cowboys CTR $416k 33
327 Jaydn Su'A Dragons EDG $579k 87
328 Dean Ieremia Titans WFB $230k 23
329 Xavier Kerrisk Cowboys HOK $230k 33
330 Mason Kira Cowboys EDG $230k 18
331 Tom Starling Raiders HOK $298k 27
332 Ethan Bullemor Sea Eagles MID $385k 25
333 Kurtis Morrin Titans MID $446k 12 48 +36
334 Chris Randall Titans HOKMID $449k 26 31 +5
335 Tony Francis Titans WFB $269k 21
336 Harrison Graham Knights HOK $357k 31 42 +11
337 Tanner Stowers-Smith Warriors MID $453k 44 32 -12
338 Nathan Brown Sea Eagles MID $373k 31 31 0
339 Jake Trbojevic Sea Eagles MID $435k 44 34 -10
340 Sandon Smith Knights HLF $458k 51 43 -8
341 Jake Turpin Bulldogs HOK $230k 25 15 -10
342 Daniel Suluka-Fifita Bulldogs MID $250k 20
343 Luke Hanson Warriors HLF $302k 5
344 AJ Brimson Titans HLFWFB $388k 19 33 +14
345 Zaidas Muagututia Sea Eagles HOK $230k 18
346 Bronson Xerri Bulldogs CTR $342k 22 33 +11
347 Eddie Ieremia-Toeava Warriors EDG $551k 52 45 -7
348 Jermaine McEwen Knights EDG $505k 32 41 +9
349 Gabriel Satrick Storm HOK $230k 28
350 Lazarus Vaalepu Storm MID $250k 20

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.