NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

587 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 164 are projected to rise. Page 8 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
351 Jack Hetherington Storm MID $230k 30 12 -18
352 Robert Derby Cowboys WFB $379k 29 34 +5
353 Lazarus Vaalepu Storm MID $250k 20
354 Greg Marzhew Knights WFB $522k 28
355 Royce Hunt Wests Tigers MID $237k 27
356 Jensen Taumoepeau Titans WFB $263k 24
357 Naufahu Whyte Roosters MID $602k 41
358 Jonah Glover Rabbitohs HLF $230k 18
359 Jacob Saifiti Knights MID $355k 61
360 Cameron Bukowski Broncos HOK $230k 24
361 Jermaine McEwen Knights EDG $505k 32 41 +9
362 Josiah Pahulu Storm MID $279k 36
363 Siale Faeamani Titans WFB $416k 15 36 +21
364 Jaylan De Groot Titans CTRWFB $262k 36 29 -7
365 Jett Liu Titans MID $230k 27
366 Gabriel Satrick Storm HOK $230k 28
367 Will Warbrick Storm WFB $452k 54
368 Tuku Hau Tapuha Sharks MID $230k 30
369 Charlie Guymer Eels EDG $351k 32
370 Latu Fainu Wests Tigers HLF $230k 29 19 -10
371 Jordan Riki Broncos EDG $554k 57 44 -13
372 Thomas Duffy Broncos HLF $363k 25 16 -9
373 Josh Kerr Dragons EDG $290k 22 19 -3
374 Va'a Semu Broncos MID $284k 27 13 -14
375 Harrison Edwards Eels HOKMID $363k 3 31 +28
376 Liam Le Blanc Rabbitohs MID $259k 22
377 Jack De Belin Eels MID $300k 25 27 +2
378 Phillip Coates Broncos WFB $242k 10
379 Thomas Fletcher Rabbitohs EDG $230k 26
380 Ryley Smith Eels HOK $298k 29
381 Jesse Arthars Broncos WFB $328k 33
382 Luke Garner Panthers EDG $374k 51 42 -9
383 Jason Salalilo Warriors MID $230k 18
384 Mitch Kenny Panthers HOK $429k 50 39 -11
385 Preston Riki Broncos MIDEDG $372k 42
386 Taylan May Wests Tigers CTR $519k 75
387 Grant Anderson Broncos WFB $316k 33 29 -4
388 Makaia Tafua Warriors HOK $230k 28 15 -13
389 Kalani Leuluai-Going Panthers MID $230k 16
390 Edward Kosi Rabbitohs WFB $260k 1
391 Mat Croker Knights MID $417k 44 35 -9
392 Kayliss Fatialofa Warriors EDG $230k 18
393 Roger Tuivasa-Sheck Warriors WFB $436k 51
394 Jett Cleary Warriors HLF $246k 7
395 Toni Mataele Eels EDG $280k 21
396 Haizyn Mellars Warriors WFB $230k 18
397 Tom Gilbert Dolphins MID $438k 26 43 +17
398 Mavrik Geyer Wests Tigers EDG $272k 23
399 Morgan Knowles Dolphins MID $359k 26 32 +6
400 Jake Averillo Dolphins CTR $560k 71

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.