NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

587 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 164 are projected to rise. Page 6 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
251 Toby Rudolf Sharks MID $409k 34 29 -5
252 Onitoni Large Sea Eagles HLF $230k 24
253 Joseph O'Neill Bulldogs HLF $230k 18
254 Trent Loiero Storm MID $614k 57 43 -14
255 Mathew Feagai Dragons CTRWFB $367k 21 32 +11
256 Jonah Pezet Eels HLF $359k 16
257 Max McCarthy Rabbitohs WFB $230k 18
258 Tanah Boyd Warriors HLF $638k 90
259 Wayde Egan Warriors HOK $454k 31
260 Josh Rogers Broncos HLF $318k 16
261 Chanel Harris-Tavita Warriors HLF $550k 29 42 +13
262 James Fisher-Harris Warriors MID $539k 39 45 +6
263 Demitric Vaimauga Warriors EDG $413k 23 26 +3
264 Murray Taulagi Cowboys WFB $338k 33
265 Fetalaiga Pauga Roosters WFBCTR $352k 43 33 -10
266 Joe Roddy Raiders EDG $281k 18 24 +6
267 Navren Willett Sea Eagles WFB $230k 18
268 Wil Sullivan Knights MID $230k 18
269 Kade Dykes Bulldogs WFB $250k 20
270 Finau Latu Bulldogs MID $250k 20
271 Morgan Gannon Warriors EDG $346k 68 21 -47
272 Jye Linnane Warriors HLF $230k 18
273 Marcelo Montoya Bulldogs WFB $311k 31
274 Lorenzo Talataina Eels HLF $230k 18
275 Jacob Liddle Dragons HOK $440k 36
276 Luciano Leilua Dragons EDG $363k 54
277 Kai Pearce-Paul Wests Tigers EDG $646k 82
278 Kyle Flanagan Dragons HLF $368k 35 38 +3
279 Daly Cherry-Evans Roosters HLF $575k 42
280 David Fale Dragons CTR $265k 12
281 Tyson Gamble Knights HLF $418k 23
282 Cameron Munster Storm HLF $606k 60 51 -9
283 Gordon Chan Kum Tong Bulldogs HOK $273k 26
284 Liam Martin Panthers EDG $553k 36 45 +9
285 Jack Cole Panthers HLF $343k 18 38 +20
286 Scott Sorensen Panthers EDGMID $360k 39 25 -14
287 Wilson De Courcey Knights CTR $230k 38
288 Luca Moretti Eels MID $355k 20 27 +7
289 Sitili Tupouniua Bulldogs MIDEDG $575k 76
290 Saxon Pryke Eels MID $406k 19 40 +21
291 Rocco Berry Warriors CTR $272k 22
292 Mawene Hiroti Sharks CTRWFB $388k 56
293 Lipoi Hopoi Bulldogs MID $230k 26
294 Daniel Atkinson Dragons HLF $482k 71 33 -38
295 Moses Suli Dragons CTR $384k 26 34 +8
296 Manaia Waitere Storm CTR $291k 20
297 Jack Howarth Storm CTR $415k 34
298 Coen Hess Cowboys MID $368k 27 31 +4
299 Corey Jensen Broncos MID $474k 39
300 Josiah Karapani Broncos WFB $325k 35 33 -2

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.