NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

587 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 164 are projected to rise. Page 9 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
401 Jeral Skelton Wests Tigers WFB $290k 16 29 +13
402 Jarome Luai Wests Tigers HLF $395k 31 38 +7
403 Jock Madden Wests Tigers HLF $423k 34 47 +13
404 Fonua Pole Wests Tigers MID $553k 42 38 -4
405 Luke Sommerton Titans HOK $230k 17 29 +12
406 Taniela Paseka Sea Eagles MID $450k 58
407 Bunty Afoa Wests Tigers MID $263k 31 17 -14
408 Heath Mason Wests Tigers WFB $239k 41
409 Klese Haas Titans EDGMID $396k 32 32 0
410 Charlie Murray Wests Tigers MID $247k 25
411 Kodi Nikorima Dolphins HLF $455k 20 39 +19
412 Luke Brooks Sea Eagles HLF $489k 53
413 Tom Gilbert Dolphins MID $438k 26 43 +17
414 Morgan Knowles Dolphins MID $359k 26 32 +6
415 Jake Averillo Dolphins CTR $560k 71
416 Sebastian Su'a Dolphins MID $251k 17
417 Rex Bassingthwaighte Roosters WFB $230k 26 33 +7
418 Mavrik Geyer Wests Tigers EDG $272k 23
419 Sione Finau Raiders WFB $300k 24
420 Jordan Uta Raiders EDG $230k 22
421 Nicholas Lenaz Sea Eagles HOK $272k 19 18 -1
422 Hudson Young Raiders EDG $649k 83
423 Malachi Smith Raiders MID $230k 18 20 +2
424 Morgan Smithies Raiders MID $317k 37 25 -12
425 Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana Knights EDG $230k 23
426 Michael Asomua Raiders WFB $250k 20
427 Tevita Tatola Rabbitohs MID $449k 50 35 -15
428 Lachlan Hubner Rabbitohs MID $330k 39 24 -15
429 Sean Keppie Rabbitohs MID $338k 34 23 -11
430 Peter Mamouzelos Rabbitohs HOK $342k 37
431 Moala Graham-Taufa Rabbitohs CTR $230k 32
432 Moeaki Fotuaika Titans MID $448k 42 40 -2
433 Alec MacDonald Storm MID $401k 29 29 0
434 Adam Reynolds Broncos HLF $451k 66
435 Araz Nanva Eels CTR $282k 6
436 Angus Hinchey Storm EDG $247k 7
437 Alex Conti Bulldogs HLF $230k 18
438 Alekolasimi Jones Bulldogs MID $230k 25 16 -9
439 Aston Warwick Roosters MIDEDG $230k 18 31 +13
440 Ativalu Lisati Storm EDG $562k 55
441 Aublix Tawha Broncos MID $245k 27 16 -11
442 Bayleigh Bentley-Hape Rabbitohs WFB $265k 10
443 Benaiah Ioelu Roosters HOK $353k 27 24 -3
444 Angus Crichton Roosters EDG $529k 33
445 Adam Elliott Rabbitohs MID $359k 47 38 -9
446 Benjamin Te Kura Broncos MID $250k 20 16 -4
447 Blake Mozer Broncos HOK $230k 24
448 Ashton Ward Rabbitohs HLF $465k 59
449 Ben Hunt Broncos HLF $341k 10 43 +33
450 Ben Talty Broncos MID $353k 39

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.