NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

587 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 164 are projected to rise. Page 5 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
201 Hugo Savala Roosters HLFCTR 0.1% $441k 32
202 John Radel Rabbitohs MID 0.1% $315k 6
203 Moses Leo Storm CTRWFB 0.1% $383k 33 37 +4
204 Tristan Hope Wests Tigers HOK 0.1% $348k 30
205 Trai Fuller Dolphins WFB 0.1% $561k 25
206 Jai Arrow Rabbitohs MIDEDG 0.1% $522k 76 38 -38
207 Samuela Fainu Wests Tigers EDG 0.1% $587k 51 44 -7
208 Tolutau Koula Sea Eagles CTR 0.1% $464k 63
209 Tony Sukkar Wests Tigers EDG 0.1% $463k 35
210 Patrick Herbert Wests Tigers CTR 0.1% $342k 25 33 +8
211 Vena Patuki-Case Raiders MID 0.1% $230k 18 21 +3
212 Myles Martin Raiders MID 0.1% $230k 18
213 Alex Johnston Rabbitohs WFB 0.1% $567k 44 42 -2
214 Adam Christensen Titans EDG 0.1% $230k 25
215 Billy Burns Sharks EDG 0.1% $460k 41 44 +3
216 Casey McLean Panthers CTR 0.1% $404k 29 36 +7
217 Bodhi Sharpley Titans MID 0.1% $230k 22 19 -3
218 Cody Walker Rabbitohs HLF 0.1% $509k 38 30 -8
219 Brent Woolf Dolphins HOK 0.1% $230k 21
220 Brian To'o Panthers WFB 0.1% $512k 28 43 +15
221 Connor Watson Roosters HOKMID 0.1% $370k 33 52 +19
222 Dane Gagai Knights CTR 0.1% $445k 23 40 +17
223 Dylan Brown Knights HLF 0.1% $695k 59
224 Ethan Roberts Wests Tigers EDG 0.1% $322k 14 16 +2
225 Ethan Strange Raiders HLF 0.1% $502k 45 43 -2
226 Hugo Hart Sea Eagles EDG 0.1% $230k 18
227 Jacob Auloa Warriors HOK 0.1% $230k 18
228 Jacob Webster Dragons MID 0.1% $285k 18
229 Karl Lawton Cowboys EDGHOK 0.1% $250k 20
230 Kitione Kautoga Eels EDG 0.1% $469k 50 39 -11
231 Liam Sutton Cowboys HLF 0.1% $375k 1
232 Matt Burton Bulldogs HLF 0.1% $453k 25 36 +11
233 Phillip Sami Titans WFBCTR 0.1% $509k 32 42 +10
234 Riley Pollard Sharks HLF 0.1% $230k 18 40 +22
235 Shawn Blore Storm EDG 0.1% $319k 10 37 +27
236 Tevita Naufahu Dolphins WFB 0.1% $540k 47 48 +1
237 Viliame Kikau Bulldogs EDG 0.1% $459k 44 39 -5
238 Xavier Savage Raiders WFB 0.1% $279k 27 28 +1
239 Thomas Mikaele Cowboys MID 0.1% $492k 24 44 +20
240 Jake Clydsdale Raiders MID 0.1% $230k 18
241 Reuben Cotter Cowboys MID 0.1% $566k 29 45 +16
242 Sam McIntyre Cowboys MIDEDG $371k 42 26 -16
243 Emre Guler Dragons MID $383k 26
244 Jason Taumalolo Cowboys MID $451k 26 38 +12
245 Riley Jones Sharks HOK $250k 20 35 +15
246 Ryan Matterson Eels MID $300k 24
247 Tom Ale Panthers MID $250k 20
248 Jethro Rinakama Bulldogs WFB $424k 55
249 Trent Loiero Storm MID $614k 57 43 -14
250 Kelma Tuilagi Eels EDG $439k 43

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.