NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

587 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 164 are projected to rise. Page 10 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
451 Ben Trbojevic Sea Eagles EDG $478k 42 45 +3
452 Billy Phillips Panthers EDG $297k 16 24 +8
453 Billy Scott Panthers HOK $230k 34
454 Bailey Hayward Bulldogs HOKMID $466k 16 41 +25
455 Brian Kelly Eels CTRWFB $401k 19 38 +19
456 Blaize Talagi Panthers HLF $415k 53
457 Bailey Simonsson Eels WFB $458k 27
458 Blake Steep Roosters MIDEDG $375k 46
459 Bronson Garlick Rabbitohs HOK $265k 29
460 Asu Kepaoa Knights CTR $250k 20
461 Connor Tracey Bulldogs WFB $440k 35 40 +5
462 Daniel Tupou Roosters WFB $407k 44 38 -6
463 Alofiana Khan-Pereira Warriors WFB $382k 37 32 -5
464 Corey Waddell Sea Eagles EDGMID $275k 31 22 -9
465 Caleb Navale Sea Eagles MID $380k 15 34 +19
466 Blake Wilson Sea Eagles WFB $230k 13
467 Ata Mariota Raiders MID $561k 30 40 +10
468 Daine Laurie Raiders WFB $359k 50
469 Braden Uele Sharks MID $272k 35 21 -14
470 Bradman Best Knights CTR $519k 46 43 -3
471 Christian Tuipulotu Dragons WFB $307k 18
472 Clinton Gutherson Dragons WFB $429k 4
473 Brendan Piakura Broncos EDG $341k 53
474 Dallin Watene-Zelezniak Warriors WFB $428k 41
475 Arama Hau Titans EDG $418k 50
476 Adam Pompey Warriors CTR $400k 31 33 +2
477 Braidon Burns Cowboys WFB $529k 55 44 -11
478 Blake Lawrie Dragons MID $296k 25 31 +6
479 Alex Seyfarth Wests Tigers EDGMID $432k 18 44 +26
480 Allan Fitzgibbon Titans WFB $250k 20
481 Aaron Schoupp Sea Eagles CTR $248k 20
482 Sione Fonua Panthers WFB $250k 20
483 Luron Patea Panthers MID $323k 36 19 -17
484 Jesse McLean Panthers WFB $250k 20
485 Brock Gray Titans MID $250k 20
486 Brodie Jones Knights EDG $285k 42
487 Connor Votano Knights WFB $250k 20
488 Connor Muhleisen Dragons HOK $243k 23 21 -2
489 Cory Paix Broncos HOK $421k 42
490 Cooper Toy Bulldogs CTRWFB $230k 20
491 Daniel Saifiti Dolphins MID $615k 50
492 Deine Mariner Broncos WFB $323k 25 34 +9
493 Dean Hawkins Eels HLF $462k 37
494 Elijah Rasmussen Dolphins MID $230k 18
495 Fletcher Baker Sea Eagles MID $248k 24
496 Felise Kaufusi Dolphins MID $230k 24 19 -5
497 Faaletino Tavana Wests Tigers WFB $230k 42
498 Hame Sele Dragons MID $358k 21
499 Hayden Buchanan Dragons CTR $257k 48
500 Harry Hayes Bulldogs MID $391k 25 27 +2

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.