NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

587 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 164 are projected to rise. Page 11 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
501 Hayden Barton Roosters EDG $230k 18
502 Harry Hayes Bulldogs MID $391k 25 27 +2
503 Hohepa Puru Sharks MID $301k 36 47 +11
504 Jack Bird Wests Tigers EDG $322k 26
505 Isaiah Tass Rabbitohs WFBCTR $313k 25
506 Jackson Ford Warriors MID $699k 88
507 Jack Todd Bulldogs MID $250k 20
508 Jake Elliott Roosters MID $230k 18
509 Jai Bowden Storm HOK $230k 28
510 Jaeman Salmon Bulldogs EDGMID $554k 52 38 -14
511 Jaimin Jolliffe Titans MID $551k 44
512 Jake Tago Eels WFB $250k 20
513 James Walsh Cowboys EDG $230k 18
514 Jamie Humphreys Rabbitohs HLF $356k 44
515 Jayden Berrell Sharks HOK $235k 27
516 Jed Reardon Bulldogs EDG $230k 38
517 Jaxson Paulo Cowboys WFB $350k 28
518 Jeremiah Nanai Cowboys EDG $518k 38
519 Jayden Brailey Raiders HOK $327k 40
520 John Bateman Cowboys EDG $435k 54 50 -4
521 John Fineanganofo Dolphins HOKHLF $230k 29
522 Joshua Coric Broncos MID $232k 15
523 Kaiden Lahrs Cowboys MID $243k 24 12 -12
524 Kit Laulilii Wests Tigers MID $250k 20
525 Keagan Russell-Smith Storm HLF $247k 5
526 Kyle McCarthy Knights WFB $350k 28
527 Kurt Mann Bulldogs MID $274k 31
528 Lachlan Ilias Titans HLF $393k 18 41 +23
529 Liam Ison Sharks WFB $250k 20
530 Lewis Symonds Dolphins EDG $230k 20
531 Luke Laulilii Warriors WFB $422k 44
532 Logan Spinks Bulldogs EDG $230k 18
533 LJ Nonu Dolphins WFB $230k 18
534 Luke Gale Broncos EDG $230k 24
535 Marata Niukore Warriors MIDEDG $270k 29
536 Marion Seve Storm CTR $230k 32
537 Matthew Eisenhuth Panthers MID $325k 26
538 Matt Doorey Eels EDG $253k 24
539 Michael Molo Titans MID $350k 28
540 Max King Bulldogs MID $619k 43 54 +11
541 Moses Leota Panthers MID $417k 23 35 +12
542 Nick Tsougranis Dragons EDG $250k 20
543 Nathan Lawson Dragons WFB $250k 20
544 Paul Bryan Sea Eagles MID $230k 33
545 Niwhai Puru Sharks HLF $395k 9 46 +37
546 Peter Hola Knights MID $232k 30
547 Preston Conn Storm EDG $230k 29
548 Riley Price Warriors MID $246k 21
549 Ray Stone Dolphins MID $367k 41 32 -9
550 Ryda Talagi Eels MID $230k 29

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.