NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

587 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 164 are projected to rise. Page 12 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

#	Player	Team	Pos	Owned	Price	BE	Proj	Proj − BE
551	Sam Elliott	Dolphins	EDG	–	$230k	18	–	–
552	Samuel Stonestreet	Sharks	WFB	–	$346k	25	–	–
553	Sam Verrills	Titans	HOK	–	$266k	33	26	-7
554	Sam Tuivaiti	Eels	MID	–	$390k	30	–	–
555	Sean O'Sullivan	Bulldogs	HLF	–	$251k	3	–	–
556	Selwyn Cobbo	Dolphins	WFB	–	$549k	35	–	–
557	Sione Fainu	Wests Tigers	MIDEDG	–	$349k	28	35	+7
558	Spencer Leniu	Roosters	MID	–	$348k	20	38	+18
559	Talanoa Penitani	Rabbitohs	WFB	–	$272k	-10	–	–
560	Taylor Losalu	Roosters	MID	–	$241k	24	33	+9
561	Sunny Kama	Titans	CTR	–	$230k	18	–	–
562	Thomas Hazelton	Sharks	MID	–	$470k	31	–	–
563	Thomas Flegler	Dolphins	MID	–	$344k	33	30	-3
564	Tom Rodwell	Roosters	WFB	–	$250k	20	13	-7
565	Tommy Talau	Roosters	CTRWFB	–	$327k	17	32	+15
566	Toby Rodwell	Roosters	HLF	–	$246k	4	45	+41
567	Tyler Peckham-Harris	Dragons	WFB	–	$230k	18	–	–
568	Trey Mooney	Knights	MID	–	$560k	59	–	–
569	Tyrone Munro	Rabbitohs	WFB	–	$369k	30	–	–
570	Tyrese Lokeni	Eels	EDG	–	$230k	18	–	–
571	Tukimihia Simpkins	Titans	MID	–	$257k	24	–	–
572	Tyrell Sloan	Dragons	WFB	–	$429k	28	34	+6
573	Vaka Aho	Wests Tigers	MID	–	$230k	18	21	+3
574	Zakauri Clarke	Panthers	EDG	–	$230k	18	–	–
575	Zac Herdegen	Cowboys	HLF	–	$230k	18	–	–
576	Xavier Coates	Storm	WFB	–	$501k	40	–	–
577	Zach Dockar-Clay	Sea Eagles	HOK	–	$340k	31	–	–
578	Jake Clifford	Cowboys	HLF	–	$509k	58	44	-14
579	Kai O'Donnell	Cowboys	EDG	–	$313k	32	–	–
580	Matty Nicholson	Raiders	EDG	–	$548k	40	49	+9
581	Tyson Frizell	Knights	MID	–	$418k	33	–	–
582	Griffin Neame	Cowboys	MID	–	$289k	30	–	–
583	Jordan Samrani	Eels	CTR	–	$478k	33	40	+7
584	Samuel Hughes	Bulldogs	MID	–	$372k	27	–	–
585	Chevy Stewart	Raiders	WFB	–	$237k	27	–	–
586	Zyon Maiu'u	Bulldogs	EDG	–	$250k	20	–	–
587	Dylan Lucas	Knights	EDG	–	$789k	97	–	–

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.