NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

581 players for 2026 Round 27, of which 162 are projected to rise. Page 1 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
1 Herbie Farnworth Dolphins CTR 100.0% $746k 44 61 +17
2 Nathan Cleary Panthers HLF 99.8% $852k 74 70 -4
3 Ryan Couchman Dragons EDGMID 98.9% $799k 98 46 -52
4 Payne Haas Broncos MID 98.6% $781k 52 62 +10
5 Terrell May Wests Tigers MID 96.8% $790k 57 67 +10
6 Sualauvi Faalogo Storm WFB 96.7% $735k 76 57 -19
7 Nicho Hynes Sharks HLF 96.0% $793k 102
8 Toby Couchman Dragons MIDEDG 88.3% $671k 78 56 -22
9 Jacob Preston Bulldogs EDG 83.9% $731k 39 56 +17
10 Blayke Brailey Sharks HOK 74.5% $598k 53
11 Jacob Kiraz Bulldogs WFBCTR 72.2% $452k 58 41 -17
12 Kalyn Ponga Knights WFB 70.0% $568k 89 46 -43
13 Haumole Olakau'atu Sea Eagles EDG 67.7% $725k 58 54 -4
14 Hamish Stewart Dragons EDGMID 57.9% $660k 76 50 -26
15 Jayden Campbell Titans HLF 55.6% $640k 65 53 -12
16 James Tedesco Roosters WFB 51.8% $589k 47
17 Reece Walsh Broncos WFB 48.6% $606k 78
18 Keaon Koloamatangi Rabbitohs MID 47.0% $712k 49 53 +4
19 Tallis Duncan Rabbitohs EDGCTR 43.1% $683k 51
20 Oliver Pascoe Titans HOK 32.2% $578k 38
21 Keano Kini Titans WFB 30.6% $548k 53 48 -5
22 KL Iro Sharks CTR 28.9% $450k 46
23 Tyran Wishart Storm HLF 28.2% $636k 39 35 -4
24 Owen Pattie Raiders HOK 24.9% $558k 30 53 +23
25 Joey Walsh Sea Eagles HLF 24.5% $524k 49
26 Euan Aitken Rabbitohs EDGCTR 20.7% $559k 39
27 Alex Twal Wests Tigers MID 20.3% $656k 94
28 Fletcher Sharpe Knights HLFWFB 20.0% $637k 58 50 -8
29 Lindsay Smith Panthers MID 17.1% $645k 40 58 +18
30 Xavier Willison Broncos MIDEDG 15.1% $584k 48 56 +8
31 Jack Williams Eels EDGMID 13.9% $685k 69 52 -17
32 Salesi Foketi Roosters EDGMID 13.5% $527k 12 55 +43
33 Brandon Smith Rabbitohs HOKMID 13.1% $354k 38 28 -10
34 Scott Drinkwater Cowboys WFB 12.9% $534k 31 47 +16
35 Simi Sasagi Raiders CTREDG 12.8% $630k 23 52 +29
36 Harry Grant Storm HOK 12.7% $534k 59 51 -8
37 Tino Fa'asuamaleaui Titans MID 12.6% $771k 25 64 +39
38 Joseph Tapine Raiders MID 12.3% $662k 24 56 +32
39 Lachlan Galvin Bulldogs HLF 12.0% $690k 38 55 +17
40 Matthew Dufty Rabbitohs WFB 11.0% $545k 43 13 -30
41 Kulikefu Finefeuiaki Dolphins EDG 10.7% $627k 52 51 -1
42 Jack Bostock Dolphins CTRWFB 10.2% $499k 45 41 -4
43 Cameron Murray Rabbitohs MID 10.2% $758k 24 52 +28
44 Jamayne Isaako Dolphins WFB 9.6% $566k 47 45 -2
45 Cody Hopwood Knights MID 9.3% $374k 23 28 +5
46 Matthew Timoko Raiders CTR 9.2% $512k 49 43 -6
47 Francis Manuleleua Knights EDG 8.8% $576k 40
48 Tom Chester Cowboys WFBCTR 7.5% $460k 29 40 +11
49 Heamasi Makasini Wests Tigers CTRWFB 7.2% $308k 21
50 Isaiah Iongi Eels WFB 7.1% $518k 68

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.