NRL Fantasy Breakevens

A player's breakeven (BE) is the score they need this round for their price to stay the same. Beat it and they rise; fall short and they drop. The Proj − BE column below is the quickest read on the table — positive means they're projected to make money, negative means they're projected to lose it.

588 players for 2026 Round 28. Page 1 of 12. Prices and breakevens update automatically.

# Player Team Pos Owned Price BE Proj Proj − BE
1 Herbie Farnworth Dolphins CTR 100.0% $754k 51 – –
2 Nathan Cleary Panthers HLF 99.8% $825k 78 – –
3 Payne Haas Broncos MID 99.2% $811k 44 – –
4 Ryan Couchman Dragons EDGMID 98.3% $742k 92 – –
5 Terrell May Wests Tigers MID 97.2% $798k 57 – –
6 Sualauvi Faalogo Storm WFB 96.8% $688k 83 – –
7 Toby Couchman Dragons MIDEDG 89.0% $659k 51 – –
8 Jacob Preston Bulldogs EDG 87.1% $759k 42 – –
9 Jacob Kiraz Bulldogs WFBCTR 71.8% $425k 49 – –
10 Haumole Olakau'atu Sea Eagles EDG 67.1% $709k 62 – –
11 Blayke Brailey Sharks HOK 63.2% $598k 53 – –
12 Kalyn Ponga Knights WFB 62.6% $568k 89 – –
13 Nicho Hynes Sharks HLF 60.4% $793k 102 – –
14 Jayden Campbell Titans HLF 59.4% $642k 44 – –
15 Hamish Stewart Dragons EDGMID 57.6% $604k 81 – –
16 James Tedesco Roosters WFB 46.1% $589k 47 – –
17 Keaon Koloamatangi Rabbitohs MID 44.0% $682k 72 – –
18 Reece Walsh Broncos WFB 39.0% $606k 78 – –
19 Tallis Duncan Rabbitohs EDGCTR 34.8% $683k 51 – –
20 Keano Kini Titans WFB 31.9% $506k 61 – –
21 Tyran Wishart Storm HLF 28.5% $627k 55 – –
22 Oliver Pascoe Titans HOK 28.2% $578k 38 – –
23 KL Iro Sharks CTR 26.9% $450k 46 – –
24 Tino Fa'asuamaleaui Titans MID 25.8% $799k 47 – –
25 Owen Pattie Raiders HOK 25.2% $558k 43 – –
26 Latrell Mitchell Rabbitohs WFBCTR 23.3% $781k 90 – –
27 Euan Aitken Rabbitohs EDGCTR 22.2% $562k 41 – –
28 Harry Grant Storm HOK 21.8% $525k 42 – –
29 Joey Walsh Sea Eagles HLF 20.8% $524k 49 – –
30 Lachlan Galvin Bulldogs HLF 19.0% $730k 33 – –
31 Lindsay Smith Panthers MID 17.7% $638k 57 – –
32 Simi Sasagi Raiders CTREDG 16.9% $648k 42 – –
33 Fletcher Sharpe Knights HLFWFB 16.9% $637k 58 – –
34 Xavier Willison Broncos MIDEDG 16.4% $580k 50 – –
35 Cameron Murray Rabbitohs MID 16.4% $799k 36 – –
36 Brandon Smith Rabbitohs HOKMID 15.8% $352k 30 – –
37 Scott Drinkwater Cowboys WFB 15.6% $552k 30 – –
38 Alex Twal Wests Tigers MID 15.3% $656k 94 – –
39 Salesi Foketi Roosters EDGMID 14.7% $565k 23 – –
40 Jack Williams Eels EDGMID 13.7% $652k 70 – –
41 Joseph Tapine Raiders MID 12.6% $663k 51 – –
42 Jamayne Isaako Dolphins WFB 11.7% $547k 55 – –
43 Matthew Dufty Rabbitohs WFB 11.0% $545k 43 – –
44 Matthew Timoko Raiders CTR 10.2% $503k 45 – –
45 Kulikefu Finefeuiaki Dolphins EDG 10.1% $627k 52 – –
46 Jack Bostock Dolphins CTRWFB 9.4% $461k 59 – –
47 Cody Hopwood Knights MID 9.2% $374k 23 – –
48 Dylan Edwards Panthers WFB 9.0% $555k 38 – –
49 Tom Chester Cowboys WFBCTR 8.1% $466k 30 – –
50 Heilum Luki Cowboys EDG 7.4% $625k 60 – –

How to read this table

Price is what the player costs right now. BE is his breakeven — the score he needs this round for that price to stand still. Proj is our projected score for the round, and Proj − BE is the difference between the two. That last column is the one to scan: positive means he's projected to clear his breakeven and rise, negative means he's projected to fall short and drop. Owned is the share of the top 1,000 squads holding him, so you can tell a popular hold from a genuine point of difference.

What a negative breakeven means

A breakeven below zero means the player rises even if he scores nothing at all. It happens after a run of scores well above his price, while the market catches up. Those players are usually the safest holds on the table — though a negative breakeven says nothing about whether he'll keep scoring, only about what his price does next.

Why breakevens move every round

A breakeven is calculated from recent scoring, so it shifts as each round's results land and old games drop out of the window. A player can go from comfortably clearing his breakeven to badly missing it in a fortnight without his form changing much — the bar itself moved. That's why this page is worth checking against the round you're actually trading in rather than trusting a figure from last week.

Using breakevens to time a trade

Breakevens tell you about price, not points. A player with a terrible breakeven may still be the right captain this week, and a cheap player about to rise may still be the wrong one to field. Read this table alongside Player Finder for form and fixtures, and Price Movers for what has already changed. For the mechanics behind the number, see the guide to what a breakeven is.

Looking for more? See full player stats, price movers, or Player Finder to filter on any stat.